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Name: Colin Raymond

Talk Title: Sharpening our view of extreme heat

Abstract: Increasing extreme heat is a global challenge with fundamentally local characteristics: its hotspots occur at scales too small for most climate models to capture and are often missed by patchy observational networks. Simultaneous extreme heat and humidity — the most direct correlate of heat stress — further involves multivariate conditional dependence and requires the consideration of additional physical constraints, some of which are under-observed and consequently can result in unanticipated statistical behavior. I illustrate these issues with examples from recent analyses (my own and others’) and describe efforts that have been made at addressing them. I also briefly remark on the difficult but valuable objective of aligning such analyses with the design of systems that modulate the ultimate impacts of climate extremes.

This talk is an invited talk at EVA 2021.